Şagadam vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
EFT
1 - 3
AGA
20%
24%
57%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 0
KAS
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 0
AGA
47%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
AGA
0 - 2
AHA
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BFT
1 - 2
AGA
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
MER
1 - 0
EFT
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
KAS
2 - 0
MER
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MER
1 - 0
AGA
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
AHA
5 - 1
MER
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
MER
1 - 0
BFT
23%
23%
55%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |