Şagadam vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2020 |
AHA
2 - 0
AGA
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 1
ALT
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
BFT
1 - 0
AGA
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AGA
0 - 0
AGA
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
TOR
2 - 1
AGA
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2020 |
MER
0 - 1
AGA
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 0
MER
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
AHA
3 - 0
MER
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
EFT
30%
25%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
EFT
2 - 1
MER
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |