Şagadam vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
AGA
2 - 0
AGA
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BFT
1 - 2
AGA
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
KAS
0 - 0
AGA
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AGA
1 - 3
AHA
25%
26%
48%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ALT
5 - 0
AGA
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 1
MER
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MER
0 - 0
KAS
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MER
2 - 0
EFT
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AGA
2 - 2
MER
45%
28%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MER
1 - 2
BFT
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |