Şagadam vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
EFT
2 - 0
AGA
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AGA
1 - 0
AGA
28%
28%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AGA
2 - 1
BFT
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
AGA
0 - 3
ALT
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AGA
1 - 0
KAS
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +3 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
MER
2 - 5
AHA
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
KAS
2 - 0
MER
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
EFT
0 - 0
MER
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MER
2 - 1
AGA
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BFT
1 - 1
MER
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |