Şagadam vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
EFT
0 - 1
AGA
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
AGA
2 - 0
AGA
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
AGA
4 - 0
BFT
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
AGA
3 - 1
KAS
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
AHA
1 - 1
AGA
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MER
0 - 0
ALT
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
KAS
0 - 2
MER
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +6 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
EFT
0 - 0
MER
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
AHA
5 - 1
MER
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MER
1 - 0
AGA
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -5 |