Şagadam vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BAL
4 - 0
AGA
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AGA
1 - 3
BAG
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NIS
1 - 1
AGA
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
AGA
0 - 0
TAL
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 0
AGA
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MER
0 - 0
AHA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
HTT
1 - 0
MER
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
DAO
1 - 3
MER
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
BAG
0 - 0
MER
48%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NIS
0 - 1
MER
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |