Şagadam vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
AGA
2 - 1
AGA
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 0
AGA
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
AGA
3 - 0
TAL
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AHA
0 - 2
AGA
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
AGA
3 - 1
BAG
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
MER
5 - 2
AGA
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
HTT
1 - 1
MER
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
BAL
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
TAL
1 - 3
MER
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
MER
2 - 0
AHA
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |