Şagadam vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
BAL
7 - 0
AGA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2012 |
AGA
4 - 0
TAL
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
AGA
2 - 0
AHA
42%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
AGA
2 - 2
BAG
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
AGA
2 - 1
ALT
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
HTT
2 - 1
MER
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
BAL
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
TAL
1 - 1
MER
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MER
2 - 0
AHA
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BAG
0 - 2
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |