Şagadam vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
AGA
2 - 0
BAG
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ALT
2 - 0
AGA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AGA
1 - 0
BAL
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
DAO
1 - 4
AGA
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
AGA
2 - 0
AHA
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
AGA
0 - 0
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
HTT
49%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
MER
4 - 0
GAA
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
BAG
2 - 1
MER
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
MER
2 - 0
ALT
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |