Şagadam vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AGA
1 - 0
BAG
44%
26%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
ALT
0 - 2
AGA
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
DAO
2 - 1
AGA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AGA
0 - 1
AHA
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
GAA
1 - 0
AGA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AGA
1 - 0
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
HTT
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MER
4 - 0
GAA
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
BAG
0 - 1
MER
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MER
4 - 1
ALT
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |