Şagadam vs Merw analysis


55	ELO	55
-4.8%	Tilt	0.2%
5552º	General ELO ranking	6692º
5º	Country ELO ranking	8º
ELO win probability

47.9%

Şagadam

25.1%

Draw

27.1%

Merw

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

47.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%

25.1%

Draw

0-0

6.7%

1-1

11.9%

2-2

5.3%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

25%

27.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-18%

-71%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Şagadam

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
22 May. 2010	BAL 3 - 0 AGA 48% 25% 27%	55	55
07 May. 2010	BAG 2 - 0 AGA 46% 26% 29%	55	55
01 May. 2010	AGA 1 - 0 DAO 48% 25% 27%	55	55
23 Apr. 2010	AHA 2 - 0 AGA 49% 25% 26%	55	55
17 Apr. 2010	TAL 0 - 1 AGA 49% 25% 27%	55	55

Matches

Merw

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
22 May. 2010	MER 3 - 2 TAL 51% 25% 24%	55	55
14 May. 2010	ALT 1 - 0 MER 50% 24% 26%	55	55
08 May. 2010	MER 3 - 1 AGA 49% 25% 26%	55	55
30 Apr. 2010	MER 3 - 0 AHA 49% 25% 26%	55	55
24 Apr. 2010	BAL 1 - 0 MER 48% 25% 27%	55	55