Şagadam vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
BFT
4 - 1
AGA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
AGA
0 - 1
HTT
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
AGA
3 - 0
AGA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
AGA
1 - 0
BAG
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ALT
3 - 2
AGA
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
TAL
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
BFT
0 - 1
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
MER
0 - 2
HTT
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
MER
4 - 0
BAG
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ALT
0 - 2
MER
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |