Şagadam vs Altyn Asyr analysis


56	ELO	54
-15.2%	Tilt	4.7%
5552º	General ELO ranking	4654º
5º	Country ELO ranking	4º
ELO win probability

43.6%

Şagadam

26.9%

Draw

29.5%

Altyn Asyr

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

43.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%

26.9%

Draw

0-0

8.5%

1-1

12.7%

2-2

4.8%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

26.9%

29.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-11%

-3%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Şagadam

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
18 May. 2012	MER 1 - 0 AGA 48% 25% 28%	55	55
11 May. 2012	AGA 2 - 1 AGA 42% 27% 31%	55	55
05 May. 2012	HTT 4 - 0 AGA 52% 23% 25%	55	55
25 Apr. 2012	TAL 0 - 3 AGA 46% 25% 29%	55	55
21 Apr. 2012	AHA 2 - 2 AGA 53% 23% 24%	55	55

Matches

Altyn Asyr

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
22 May. 2012	ALT 1 - 1 MER 50% 25% 25%	55	55
18 May. 2012	AGA 0 - 3 ALT 54% 23% 23%	55	55
12 May. 2012	ALT 0 - 0 HTT 49% 25% 26%	55	55
29 Apr. 2012	ALT 4 - 1 TAL 50% 25% 25%	55	55
25 Apr. 2012	AHA 0 - 0 ALT 54% 23% 23%	55	55