Şagadam vs Aşgabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AHA
1 - 0
AGA
75%
16%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 2
BFT
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 2
AGA
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
BFT
2 - 0
AGA
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
AGA
1 - 2
ALT
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 0
MER
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
EFT
0 - 3
AGA
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AGA
0 - 0
KAS
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LOK
3 - 0
AGA
86%
11%
4%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
BFT
4 - 2
AGA
49%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |