Afumati vs Dunărea Călăraşi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
1º
24
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afumati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CSG
0 - 3
AFU
8%
14%
78%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 5
AFU
5%
13%
82%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AFU
5 - 0
GLO
90%
8%
3%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RGD
1 - 2
AFU
6%
13%
81%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AFU
3 - 0
BOR
91%
7%
2%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 2
GLO
66%
17%
17%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
RGD
1 - 2
DUN
29%
22%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DUN
5 - 1
BOR
79%
13%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
IMO
0 - 0
DUN
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
FAC
54%
20%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |