Iceland Second Division Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Afturelding vs Leiknir Reykjavik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afturelding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 2
AFT
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
THR
2 - 1
AFT
36%
23%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AFT
5 - 0
AEG
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
FJO
4 - 2
AFT
52%
23%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AFT
0 - 2
LEI
58%
22%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Leiknir Reykjavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 2
AFT
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AEG
0 - 5
LEI
16%
22%
63%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 2
FJO
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NJA
2 - 4
LEI
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AFT
0 - 2
LEI
58%
22%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |