Afturelding vs ÍBV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
7º
18
4º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 43 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 41 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 41 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 33 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 31 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 27 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 27 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 26 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 26 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 26 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 26 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 22 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
34% | 15% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
66% | 85% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afturelding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 0
AFT
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
AFT
1 - 2
HKK
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
REY
3 - 1
AFT
31%
22%
47%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
FHH
3 - 6
AFT
41%
22%
37%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
AFT
4 - 0
THO
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
ÍBV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
VIK
2 - 0
IBV
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SEL
1 - 1
IBV
28%
21%
51%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
KRR
6 - 3
IBV
64%
19%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
LEI
2 - 3
IBV
29%
22%
49%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KEF
1 - 0
IBV
44%
22%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |