Afogados vs Torres Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
AFO
2 - 0
SED
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
AFO
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 2
AFO
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AFO
1 - 0
ISC
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PET
4 - 2
AFO
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Torres Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
ACA
2 - 1
CAT
54%
21%
24%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAT
2 - 0
FEC
52%
21%
28%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAT
3 - 5
PET
21%
21%
59%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
CAT
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CAT
0 - 4
IFC
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |