Afogadense vs Chã Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 1
AFC
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
SSS
0 - 0
AFC
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chã Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
IFC
2 - 0
CHA
17%
20%
63%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
ADJ
78%
15%
8%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
BEL
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VCR
1 - 3
CHA
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
TFC
51%
23%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |