AFF-FFV Fribourg U15 vs FC Thun U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-87%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
8º
5º
12
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFF-FFV Fribourg U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
2 - 2
AFF
16%
18%
67%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 2
AFF
66%
17%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AFF
2 - 2
NEX
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 4
AFF
19%
19%
63%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 5
AFF
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Thun U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
THU
0 - 2
NEX
28%
21%
51%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 1
THU
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LCO
0 - 5
THU
8%
13%
79%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SER
5 - 4
THU
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
THU
3 - 4
BAS
19%
19%
63%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |