AFC Wimbledon vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
HEN
3 - 1
AFC
16%
26%
58%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
AFC
2 - 0
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
AFC
0 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
AFC
3 - 2
BIL
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
HOR
1 - 1
AFC
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
WOR
0 - 3
HEY
28%
26%
47%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
BOR
3 - 2
WOR
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2007 |
WOR
3 - 2
RAM
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
WOR
0 - 2
CHM
35%
27%
39%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
BIL
3 - 1
WOR
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |