AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 2
AFC
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
CHL
2 - 1
AFC
83%
14%
4%
|
59 | 92 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
FOR
60%
22%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 3
AFC
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
COL
0 - 2
AFC
46%
27%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LEY
0 - 3
STE
37%
30%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
EXE
1 - 1
STE
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STE
0 - 0
OPA
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
REA
2 - 0
STE
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 2
STE
29%
30%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |