FA Cup 1/128
Global 1-0
AFC Wimbledon vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 1
AFC
50%
24%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 1
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
STF
0 - 0
AFC
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
GUL
4 - 0
AFC
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 5
CRA
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 0
SCU
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SCU
4 - 2
TRA
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
SCU
2 - 2
HUR
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MKD
0 - 0
SCU
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 0
SCU
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |