AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 4
AFC
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
5 - 3
OPA
31%
23%
45%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 1
OXF
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
IPS
2 - 2
AFC
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
AFC
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PLY
3 - 0
SHW
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
PLY
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PLY
1 - 1
FLE
47%
26%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
SWA
4 - 1
PLY
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
STF
0 - 3
PLY
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |