AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 0
GIL
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
COV
2 - 2
AFC
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 1
STF
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 2
AFC
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 3
SHE
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
PLY
4 - 1
YEO
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
LEY
0 - 2
PLY
37%
28%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
PLY
1 - 1
HAR
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
EXE
0 - 2
PLY
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PLY
2 - 1
CAM
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |