AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 1
EXE
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 1
AFC
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 2
CAM
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 2
AFC
52%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
AFC
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 0
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 2
PLY
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
PLY
4 - 1
CUM
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 2
OPA
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 2
GIL
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |