AFC Wimbledon vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
OXF
1 - 0
AFC
56%
25%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 0
BAR
44%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 1
NOR
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LUT
2 - 0
AFC
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 1
NOT
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CUM
2 - 3
MOR
52%
23%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
BCF
0 - 1
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 4
BRO
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 3
LUT
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
OXF
0 - 0
MOR
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |