AFC Wimbledon vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
PLY
1 - 2
AFC
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 2
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 1
AFC
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 0
BRO
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
AFC
54%
23%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 1
MOR
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
SCU
20%
26%
54%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FLE
2 - 2
MOR
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
MAN
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BRO
1 - 0
MOR
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |