AFC Wimbledon vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
AFC
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 2
ALD
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 1
MAC
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GIL
3 - 4
AFC
53%
24%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
AFC
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 0
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BRO
2 - 1
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
GUL
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 2
MOR
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |