AFC Wimbledon vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
MID
1 - 1
AFC
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
AFC
3 - 0
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1989 |
POR
1 - 2
AFC
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1988 |
AFC
0 - 1
QPR
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1988 |
QPR
0 - 0
AFC
89%
8%
3%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
NEW
2 - 2
MID
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1989 |
POR
1 - 1
MID
47%
29%
25%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
MID
0 - 0
WBA
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
MID
1 - 1
AFC
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
OLD
2 - 0
MID
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |