AFC Wimbledon vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
AFC
2 - 1
ASH
66%
20%
13%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
AFC
2 - 3
TON
65%
21%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
HAR
0 - 1
AFC
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
AFC
1 - 0
LFC
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
AFC
0 - 1
HAM
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
BRO
0 - 3
HOR
50%
24%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
HOR
1 - 2
HAM
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
HOR
4 - 0
WAL
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
HEY
1 - 1
HOR
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
HOR
3 - 1
BIL
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |