AFC Wimbledon vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 0
AFC
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 2
CRY
75%
15%
11%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 2
WIG
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 1
AFC
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 2
SHW
35%
27%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DAR
5 - 1
GUI
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 0
CHO
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 1
BRA
29%
26%
46%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
GUI
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 0
LEA
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |