AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 3
BOL
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
AFC
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
DON
1 - 2
AFC
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 2
SCU
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
WOK
1 - 0
AFC
17%
23%
60%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PLY
1 - 0
GIL
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 2
GIL
26%
23%
51%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GIL
1 - 1
LIN
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
5 - 0
GIL
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LEY
2 - 0
GIL
22%
23%
55%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |