AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
AFC
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AFC
4 - 1
CHE
58%
22%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 3
NOR
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 1
AFC
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AFC
3 - 2
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GIL
3 - 1
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HER
1 - 6
GIL
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 0
GIL
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GIL
1 - 1
STA
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GIL
0 - 1
STF
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |