AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 0
AFC
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 0
AFC
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
3 - 1
BRA
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 1
DAG
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 2
PLY
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 1
NOR
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 4
GUL
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
STF
1 - 0
BUR
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
BUR
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 2
SOU
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |