AFC Wimbledon vs Accrington Stanley analysis

AFC Wimbledon Accrington Stanley
59 ELO 58
5.9% Tilt -4.7%
2376º General ELO ranking 4022º
62º Country ELO ranking 107º
ELO win probability
50.9%
AFC Wimbledon
24.9%
Draw
24.2%
Accrington Stanley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
AFC Wimbledon
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.2%
Win probability
Accrington Stanley
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Wimbledon
+5%
-3%
Accrington Stanley

ELO progression

AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2016
NOR
Northampton
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
56%
24%
20%
58 64 6 0
27 Feb. 2016
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 2
Oxford United
OXF
37%
27%
36%
59 65 6 -1
23 Feb. 2016
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Carlisle United
CUM
49%
25%
26%
58 58 0 +1
20 Feb. 2016
BAR
Barnet
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
41%
26%
32%
58 55 3 0
13 Feb. 2016
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
4 - 1
Luton Town
LUT
51%
25%
25%
57 56 1 +1

Matches

Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2016
YEO
Yeovil Town
1 - 0
Accrington Stanley
STA
32%
27%
41%
58 52 6 0
27 Feb. 2016
STA
Accrington Stanley
2 - 2
Barnet
BAR
58%
22%
21%
58 55 3 0
23 Feb. 2016
STA
Accrington Stanley
3 - 2
Notts County
NOT
62%
20%
18%
58 52 6 0
20 Feb. 2016
OXF
Oxford United
1 - 2
Accrington Stanley
STA
56%
25%
19%
57 65 8 +1
16 Feb. 2016
STA
Accrington Stanley
1 - 1
Carlisle United
CUM
49%
25%
26%
57 58 1 0