League Two play-offs Semi-finals
Global 3-2
AFC Wimbledon vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 0
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
STE
0 - 0
AFC
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 1
OPA
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 0
LEY
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
DAG
0 - 2
AFC
21%
26%
54%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
STA
0 - 0
STE
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
WYC
0 - 1
STA
37%
29%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
STA
3 - 0
YOR
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
STA
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
STA
2 - 2
MOR
71%
18%
12%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |