AFC Wimbledon vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 3
CUM
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
STE
2 - 1
AFC
44%
25%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 2
LIV
8%
15%
76%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
AFC
4 - 1
EXE
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
OPA
0 - 2
AFC
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TRA
3 - 0
STA
49%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
EXE
1 - 2
STA
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
YOR
1 - 0
STA
39%
28%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
STA
1 - 1
WYC
39%
26%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
YEO
2 - 0
STA
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |