AFC Wimbledon vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 1
AFC
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BUR
3 - 2
AFC
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
SCU
0 - 1
AFC
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 1
SWI
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 0
SCU
41%
24%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
STA
3 - 0
DAG
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
STA
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NOT
4 - 1
STA
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
STA
2 - 1
BRO
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
STA
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |