Varndeanians vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
CRO
2 - 2
VAR
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
PAG
25%
22%
53%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HAY
0 - 1
VAR
85%
11%
4%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
SHO
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 0
SAL
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
TOO
0 - 5
MER
11%
18%
71%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TOO
0 - 7
FAR
10%
16%
74%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
FAR
2 - 0
TOO
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 0
TOO
54%
21%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
RED
5 - 1
TOO
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |