Varndeanians vs Pagham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
53.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HAY
0 - 1
VAR
85%
11%
4%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
SHO
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 0
SAL
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
CRA
8%
14%
78%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
LCO
13%
18%
70%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PAG
0 - 2
CRO
11%
18%
71%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 1
PAG
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 1
MEF
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SHO
2 - 4
PAG
48%
21%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PAG
0 - 0
NEW
7%
13%
79%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |