Varndeanians vs Horsham YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HAS
2 - 0
VAR
53%
21%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 1
BEX
13%
17%
71%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 1
CRA
22%
19%
59%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 1
VAR
19%
20%
62%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 2
VAR
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 2
CRO
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 1
HOR
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
LOX
4 - 1
HOR
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 4
HAS
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LCO
3 - 0
HOR
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |