Varndeanians vs Bexhill United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
80.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PEA
3 - 0
VAR
88%
9%
4%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 3
STC
28%
21%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 4
HOR
9%
14%
78%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 2
EAS
8%
13%
79%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LOX
1 - 1
VAR
59%
20%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bexhill United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BEX
2 - 1
ALF
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BEX
3 - 1
LIT
35%
21%
44%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
PAG
0 - 1
BEX
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
PEA
1 - 1
BEX
12%
17%
71%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BEX
1 - 1
AUC
82%
11%
6%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |