Varndeanians vs Alfold analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
56%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 2
FAR
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
TOW
2 - 1
VAR
82%
12%
7%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
VAR
4 - 6
LIT
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TOO
3 - 1
VAR
76%
15%
10%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 2
VAR
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alfold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 2
ALF
72%
15%
13%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
ALF
3 - 0
EAS
35%
22%
43%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ALF
2 - 3
BEX
17%
19%
64%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ERI
1 - 1
ALF
34%
22%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
ALF
9 - 1
SHO
58%
20%
23%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |