AFC Totton vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Totton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
AFT
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 2
AFT
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
AFT
4 - 0
WIM
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AFT
2 - 2
BAS
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WUN
3 - 1
AFT
11%
17%
72%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | -2 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MER
6 - 0
WIM
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
MER
3 - 1
WIN
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MER
0 - 0
GOS
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
MER
48%
22%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAT
2 - 1
MER
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |