AFC Sudbury vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
44.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
YEL
5 - 0
HIS
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
DER
1 - 1
YEL
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
YEL
0 - 2
CAM
60%
20%
21%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
KIN
2 - 1
YEL
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
HEY
0 - 1
YEL
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
TIL
3 - 0
HEY
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
TIL
1 - 1
WHI
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
TIL
5 - 3
CAN
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
DER
1 - 3
TIL
50%
21%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
TIL
1 - 1
FEL
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |