AFC Sudbury vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
34%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BOW
3 - 0
YEL
70%
17%
12%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
YEL
0 - 2
AVE
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
BUR
2 - 3
YEL
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
YEL
3 - 1
MIL
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
YEL
8 - 2
DER
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 3
TIL
14%
17%
70%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
TIL
4 - 2
DER
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 2
TIL
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
TIL
4 - 1
ROM
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
TIL
3 - 0
AVE
23%
23%
55%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +3 |