AFC Sudbury vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
WAR
1 - 1
YEL
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
YEL
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MET
3 - 0
YEL
55%
23%
23%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CAN
3 - 2
YEL
63%
20%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
YEL
1 - 1
AVE
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 1
TIL
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TIL
1 - 2
HER
60%
19%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
TIL
1 - 0
CHE
29%
23%
49%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
POT
4 - 0
TIL
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
TIL
2 - 6
CAN
17%
20%
62%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |