AFC Sudbury vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
YEL
0 - 4
THU
55%
22%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
RED
0 - 4
YEL
9%
19%
72%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
YEL
1 - 1
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
ROM
0 - 1
YEL
12%
20%
69%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
YEL
2 - 0
BUR
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TIL
0 - 0
HAR
73%
16%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
HOR
0 - 0
TIL
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 3
TIL
9%
17%
74%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TIL
0 - 2
AVE
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
PHO
1 - 2
TIL
25%
21%
54%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |