AFC Sudbury vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
YEL
2 - 0
DER
51%
22%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ERI
0 - 4
YEL
10%
17%
73%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
YEL
1 - 0
WRO
65%
19%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
NEE
2 - 0
YEL
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
RED
2 - 3
YEL
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
WRO
4 - 2
TIL
49%
21%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
TIL
2 - 0
RED
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
TIL
0 - 2
HEY
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 0
TIL
51%
22%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 2
TIL
44%
24%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |